Reds vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 5/3/23

San Diego Padres (16-14) vs Cincinnati Reds (12-17)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 3, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)

Seth Lugo (2-2) (3.58) vs Luis Cessa (1-3) (9.55)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -312 / Cincinnati Reds +225 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres will host the Cincinnati Reds for their series finale this Wednesday from Petco Park. Cincinnati snuck away with a victory in the tenth inning, 2-1.

Reds Betting Preview

Cincinnati moved to 13-16 after defeating San Diego. The Reds avoided a tenth straight loss with late game heroics at Petco, and they’ll attempt to build on that here.  The Cincinnati offense is scoring 3.78 runs per game, while batting .244, with a .324 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.89 ERA, with a 1.50 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the team in batting (.313), after recording three hits in the game one win. Jonathan India produced the game-winning RBI last night,  and he leads Cincy in runs (22).

Luis Cessa (1-3, 9.55 ERA, 3 Ks) will take the mound for Cincinnati. The eighth-year pitcher capitalized on a light spot in Oakland  to earn his first winning decision of the season. It remains to be seen if he will have similar success down the coast in San Diego, as he’s struggled in four previous starts. 

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Padres Betting Preview

San Diego dropped to 16-15 after falling to Cincinnati. The Padres dropped game two, and they’ll look to avenge that loss here in the series finale. The San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .233, with a .317 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.44 ERA, with a 1.34 WHIP. Xander Bogaerts leads the Pads in batting (.304) and hits (34) after recording a hit in five of six games. Matt Carpenter and Nelson Cruz are tied for the team-lead in RBI at 16.  

Seth Lugo (2-2, 3.58 ERA, 17 K) is set to start for San Diego. The eighth-year pitcher struggled at Wrigley with the Cubs last week, allowing four runs in five innings and taking his second straight losing decision. Lugo cleared five strikeouts in each of his first four starts, while allowing seven earned runs combined, so he could be in for a bounce back here. 

Cincinnati vs San Diego Trends

Cincinnati is 18-12 against the spread this season, with a 16-14 O/U record. San Diego is 16-15 ATS this year, with a 13-16-2 over/under record.

Corey's Free Pick

This absolutely feels like one of those spots the Padres should deliver in, and I like buying into it. San Diego should find little trouble producing off of Luis Cessa, who’s shown little resistance this season. Bet on San Diego to cover here, and double down with the Over just in case Cincinnati overachieves in this spot.

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Corey’s Pick Padres -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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