Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction - MLB Picks 5/3/23

Los Angeles Dodgers (17-13) vs Philadelphia Phillies (15-15)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 3, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Gavin Stone (0-0) (0.00) vs Aaron Nola (2-2) (4.46)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -115 / Philadelphia Phillies +105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Philadelphia Phillies for their series finale this Wednesday from Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles has humbled Philadelphia by outscoring them, 26-4, through both contests.

Phillies Betting Preview

Philadelphia moved to 15-16 after losing to Los Angeles. The Phillies hot end to the first month of action has been erased by a pair of massive losses to LAD, and they’ll attempt to show some fight here in the series finale. The Philadelphia offense is scoring 4.45 runs per game, while batting .266, with a .322 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.95 ERA, with a 1.37 WHIP. Brandon Marsh has recorded a hit in seven of the last ten games, and he leads the Phillies in batting (.326). Nick Castellanos is second in both BA (.311) and RBI (19), while scoring a team-high 23 runs. Bryce Harper made his season debut yesterday, and that’s good to be a great sign for Philly fans.

Aaron Nola (2-2, 4.97 ERA, 17 Ks) will take the mound for Philadelphia. The longtime Phillies pitcher remains one of the most reliable arms in the rotation. Nola delivered a gem against the Astros in his last outing, striking out six over eight full innings of work, while allowing just one run to earn his second win of the season. 

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Dodgers Betting Preview

Los Angeles moved 18-13 after defeating Philly yesterday. The Dodgers capitalized on a return to LA, and picked up their first sweep of the season. The Los Angeles offense is scoring 5.04 runs per game, while batting .238, with a .333 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.30 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP. Will Smith has a hit in five of the last seven games, and he leads the Dodgers in hitting (.317). Freddie Freeman is right behind him at .309 after producing a pair of RBI in the first two matchups with Philly, and he’s scored a team-high 24 runs. Max Muncy is first on the team in RBI (23), after producing one in the large win last night. 

Gavin Stone (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is set to start for Los Angeles. This will mark the 2020 draft pick’s first appearance in majors. 

Philadelphia vs Los Angeles Trends

Philadelphia is 13-18 against the spread this season, with a 14-17 over/under record. Los Angeles is 15-16 ATS this year, with a 18-12-1 O/U record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Philadelphia has a small chance to steal this contest with Los Angeles sending an experienced arm to the bump, but after being gashed for thirteen runs in both games by the hosts, it’s hard to trust them here. Aaron Nola has been their most reliable pitcher this season, but with the way LAD is producing at home right now, I like buying into a third straight Over here. The Dodgers should be able to handle the heavy lifting, and hopefully Philly can bring some fight and production as well in the series finale.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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