Cubs vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 5/1/23

Washington Nationals (10-17) vs Chicago Cubs (14-13)

Game Info: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

MacKenzie Gore (3-1) (3.00) vs Drew Smyly (2-1) (3.21)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +115 / Chicago Cubs -140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs will play the Washington Nationals in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Nationals Park in Washington, DC.

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 14-13 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss to Miami, where they lost all three games played. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average this year. The Cubs offense has scored 146 runs with a .276 batting average and a .347 on base percentage. Patrick Wisdom is batting .250 with 10 home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Drew Smyly, who is 2-1 with a 3.21 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this season.

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 10-17 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Washington is coming off of a series loss against Pittsburgh, where they lost two out of three games. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 104 runs with a .252 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Jeimer Candelario is batting .239 with four home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this year. 

Trends

Chicago is 13-4 in their last 17 game one’s of a series and 1-4 in their last five games. The under is 5-1 in Chicago’s last 6 games. Washington is 14-40 in their last 54 home games and 13-40 in their last 53 game one’s of a series. The under is 7-3 in Washington’s last 10 games. The over is 6-2 in these two teams last 8 head to head meetings. 

Pick

Chicago started the season playing very well, but they have struggled in their last few games. Washington has struggled since the start of the season and they have a team ERA of 4.59 so far this year. Washington is starting MacKenzie Gore, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this season. Chicago will turn to Drew Smyly, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. I like the under in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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