Braves vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 5/1/23

New York Mets (15-12) vs Atlanta Braves (18-9)

Game Info: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Citi Field)

Denyi Reyes/Tylor Megill vs Spencer Strider/Charlie Morton

Betting Odds: New York Mets / Atlanta Braves --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Atlanta Braves in a doubleheader on Monday afternoon at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 18-9 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Atlanta won Game 1 of this series by a score of 4-0. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Braves offense has scored 138 runs with a .255 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Ronald Acuna is batting .352 with four home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta in Game 1 is Spencer Strider, who is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 30 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta in Game 2 is Charlie Morton, who is 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 29.1 innings pitched.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 15-12 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, New York lost two out of three games against Washington. The New York pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 122 runs with a .240 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso is batting .257 with 10 home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York in Game 1 is Denyi Reyes, who is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over 6.1 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher for Game 2 is Tylor Megill, who is 3-1 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 25 innings pitched this year. 

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Atlanta is 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games and 9-1 in their last 10 road games. The over is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 games. New York is 11-4 in their last 15 Monday games and 1-5 in their last 6 games. The under is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 home games. Atlanta is 5-0 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.


Atlanta has been one of the best teams in baseball to start the year, while New York has struggled over the last week. These two teams have not played since Friday, as the games on Saturday and Sunday were postponed due to rain. Atlanta is playing like the better team in this matchup and they have two really good pitchers throwing in these two games with Strider and Morton. I like the Braves to win Game 1 by at least two runs and the Braves to win Game 2. 

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David’s Pick Game 1: Braves -1.5 Game 2: Braves ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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