Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 4/30/23

Boston Red Sox (14-14) vs Cleveland Guardians (13-14)

Game Info: Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Fenway Park)

Chris Sale (1-2) (8.22) vs Logan Allen (1-0) (1.50)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -150 / Cleveland Guardians +125 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of their series at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 13-14 this season and they have lost five of their last eight games. Cleveland won Game 1 of this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday night. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians offense has scored 107 runs with a .236 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .291 with three home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this year. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 14-14 this season and they have lost four of their last seven games. Boston won Game 2 of this series by a score of 8-7 on Saturday. The Boston pitching staff has a 5.14 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .267 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 156 runs with a .257 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this year. Rafael Devers is batting .239 with 10 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Chris Sale, who is 1-2 with an 8.22 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this season. 

Trends

Cleveland is 21-6 in their last 27 game three’s of a series and 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in Cleveland’s last 5 games. Boston is 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games and 7-2 in their last 9 games against the AL Central. The over is 5-1 in Boston’s last 6 home games. Cleveland is 5-12 in these two teams last 17 head to head meetings. 

Pick

These two teams have split the first two games in this series and will be looking for the series win in this matchup. Boston has hit the ball very well this season, but their pitching has let them down. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 5.14 so far this year. Chris Sale will be on the mound for Boston and he has allowed at least five earned runs in three of his five starts this season. Cleveland is starting Logan Allen, who allowed one earned run in 6.0 innings of work in his first start. I think we are going to see another high scoring game here and I am taking the over. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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