Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 4/29/23

Boston Red Sox (13-14) vs Cleveland Guardians (13-13)

Game Info: Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Brayan Bello (0-1) (9.82) vs Zach Plesac (1-1) (6.50)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -125 / Cleveland Guardians +100 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Red Sox will host the Cleveland Guardians for game two of their three-game set this Saturday from Fenway Park. Cleveland took game one after leading throughout, 5-2.

Guardians Betting Preview

Cleveland moved to 13-13 after defeating Boston. The Guardians controlled last night’s contest, and they’ll look to jump over .500 this weekend. The Cleveland offense is scoring 4.14 runs per game, while batting .239, with a .330 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.14 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP. Jose Ramirez has recorded a hit in seven of the last ten, and he leads Cleveland in hits (27) and RBI (16).

Zach Plesac (1-1, 6.50 ERA, 13 Ks) will start for Cleveland. The fifth-year pitcher suffered his first losing decision in five starts versus Miami last week after allowing ten hits in five innings.

Red Sox Betting Preview

Boston fell to 13-14 following the loss to Cleveland. The Red Sox have lost four of six games this week, but Saturday gives them a chance to turn the tide at home. The Boston offense is 4.83 scoring runs per game, while batting .246, with a .323 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 5.10 ERA, with a 1.35 WHIP. Jarren Duran has multiple hits in four of the last five games, and he leads the team in batting (.436). Rafael Devers is one pace to lead the team in RBI again, and he’s up to 24 after a strong week of action.

Brayan Bello (0-1, 9.82 ERA, 8 Ks) will begin the game for Boston. The sophomore pitcher improved upon a tough season, going 4.2 innings against the Brewers to help the Sox earn the victory. This will mark his first start at Fenway without inclement weather.

Cleveland vs Boston Trends

Cleveland is 12-13 against the spread this season, with a 15-9-1 O/U record. Boston is 13-12 ATS this year, with a 10-14-1 over/under record.

Corey's Free Pick

This pitching matchup should appear appetizing to both lineups, and bettors worldwide. Zach Plesac hasn’t been terrible this season, but he’s shown vulnerability early on, while Brayan Bello has naturally shown growing pains. Both arms should give way to production at the plate here, and when you factor in hitter-friendly Fenway Park, I like targeting the total here. Take the Over for the Boston/Cleveland matchup.