Phillies vs Astros Prediction - MLB Picks 4/28/23

Houston Astros (14-11) vs Philadelphia Phillies (13-13)

Game Info: Friday, April 28, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Framber Valdez (2-2) (2.25) vs Aaron Nola (1-2) (5.40)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -150 / Philadelphia Phillies +130 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Houston Astros in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-13 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Phillies offense has scored 114 runs with a .275 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .289 with three home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 28.1 innings pitched this year.

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 14-11 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Houston is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won two out of the three games played in the series. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.16 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 122 runs with a .251 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this year. Kyle Tucker is batting .302 with five home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 32 innings pitched this season.

Trends

Philadelphia is 5-1 in their last 6 games and 1-7 in their last 8 games against the AL West. The under is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 game one’s of a series. Houston is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games and 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games. The over is 9-2-1 in Houston’s last 12 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.

Pick

Both of these teams come into this game playing great baseball, but Houston is coming off of a series win against the best team in baseball. The Astros have thrown back to back shutouts and will have Framber Valdez on the mound, who has allowed eight earned runs over his last 32 innings of work. The Phillies will start Aaron Nola, who has pitched better in his last two starts, but did start the season with a few struggles. I like Houston to win this game by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Astros -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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