Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 4/28/23

Boston Red Sox (13-13) vs Cleveland Guardians (12-13)

Game Info: Friday, April 28, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Nick Pivetta (1-1) (4.58) vs Shane Bieber (1-1) (3.23)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +120 / Cleveland Guardians -145 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 12-13 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss to Colorado, where they lost two out of the three games played. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average this year. The Guardians offense has scored 95 runs with a .231 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .271 with three home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Shane Bieber, who is 1-1 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched this year. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 13-13 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Boston is coming off of a series loss to Baltimore, where they lost two out of three games. The Boston pitching staff has a 5.13 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .264 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 146 runs with a .252 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. Rafael Devers is batting .238 with nine home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Nick Pivetta, who is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 19.2 innings pitched this season. 

Trends

Cleveland is 8-1 in their last 9 Friday games and 20-8 in their last 28 road games. The under is 8-1 in Cleveland’s last 9 games. Boston is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss and 5-2 in their last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in Boston’s last 4 home games. The over is 10-4-2 in these two teams last 16 head to head meetings in Boston.

Pick

Cleveland comes into this game really struggling on offense and they only scored five runs in their series with Colorado. Boston has hit the ball better than Cleveland, but the Red Sox pitching staff has been roughed up. Cleveland will start Shane Bieber, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Red Sox will start Nick Pivetta, who has allowed nine earned runs over his last 9.2 innings pitched. I like the Guardians with Bieber on the mound. 

David’s Pick Guardians ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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