Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction - MLB Picks 4/28/23

Colorado Rockies (8-18) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (14-12)

Game Info: Friday, April 28, 2023 at 8:40 pm (Coors Field)

Kyle Freeland (2-2) (4.28) vs Merrill Kelly (1-3) (4.10)

Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +120 / Arizona Diamondbacks -156 --- Over/Under: 11.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Arizona Diamondbacks will head up to Denver to face the Colorado Rockies for a three-game set from Coors Field. 

Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Arizona comes in at 14-12 after taking two of three from Kansas City. The Diamondbacks bounced back from a series loss to the Padres, and they’ll look to find success at Coors here. The Arizona offense is scoring 4.13 runs per game, while batting .259, with a .304 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.41 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo has recorded multiple hits in four of the last seven games, and he leads the team in hitting (.365). Corbin Carroll (.311) brings a six-game hit streak into this contest.  

Merrill Kelly (1-3, 3.42 ERA, 25 Ks) will get the start for Arizona. The fifth-year pitcher failed to follow up two quality starts after suffering a loss to San Diego. Kelly allowed four runs in five innings, but he cleared seven strikeouts for the second time in three games. 

Rockies Betting Preview

Colorado moved to 8-18 after taking two from Cleveland. The Rockies' time in Northeast Ohio treated them well, and they were able to win their first series of the season. The Colorado offense is scoring 4.5 runs per game, while batting .257, with a  .311 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 5.34 ERA, with a 1.50 WHIP. Elias Diaz leads the Rockies in hitting (.333), after recording a hit in five of the last six games.  Ryan McMahon is first on the team in RBI (12).

Kyle Freeland (2-2, 4.28 ERA, 18 Ks) will take the bump for Colorado. The second-year pitcher delivered three straight quality starts to open the season, but he’s struggled in his last two outings. Freeland fell apart in his last start at Coors, giving up seven runs in 2.2 innings. Freeland bounced back with six strikeouts in six innings on the road versus Philly, so maybe he regroups here at home.

Arizona vs Colorado Trends

Arizona is 14-11 ATS this year, with a 12-11-2 O/U record. Colorado is 9-15 against the spread this season, with a 12-11-1 over/under record.

Corey's Free Pick

Arizona, like Pittsburgh, has flipped the switch this season, and they’ve turned farm progression into big league production. Despite the improvements, this feels like a spot the Rockies can win in at home. When Zac Gallen’s not on the mound, the DBacks are beatable and can be hit off of. Personally, I'm going to test my birthday luck and attempt the profitable shot with Colorado at Coors, but I recommend spotting them the runs for safety here.

Corey’s Pick Rockies +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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