Marlins vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 4/27/23

Atlanta Braves (17-8) vs Miami Marlins (12-13)

Game Info: Thursday, April 27, 2023 at 12:20 pm (Truist Park)

Kyle Wright (0-1) (5.93) vs Braxton Garrett (1-0) (2.84)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -190 / Miami Marlins +160 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 4 of their series on Thursday afternoon at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 12-13 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Prior to losing the first three games in this series, Miami won two out of three games against Cleveland. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 80 runs with a .241 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .244 with five home runs and 10 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this year.

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 17-8 this season and they have won three games in a row. Atlanta has won the first three games in this series by scores of 11-0, 7-4, and 6-4. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 130 runs with a .259 batting average and a .340 on base percentage this season. Matt Olson is batting .258 with seven home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Kyle Wright, who is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 13.2 innings pitched this season.

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Miami is 5-1 in their last 6 Thursday games and 16-37 in their last 53 games against the NL East. The under is 9-4 in Miami’s last 13 games. Atlanta is 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games and 50-19 in their last 69 home games. The over is 9-1 in Atlanta’s last 10 home games. The over is 6-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings in Atlanta. 


Atlanta comes into this game looking for a four game sweep and they have out scored Miami by a total of 24-8 in the first three games. Atlanta will start Kyle Wright, who has allowed nine earned runs over his last 13.2 innings pitched. Miami will turn to Braxton Garrett, who has only allowed two earned runs over his last 11.1 innings of work. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here and I like the under. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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