Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction - MLB Picks 4/23/23

Milwaukee Brewers (14-6) vs Boston Red Sox (11-10)

Game Info: Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 2:10 pm (American Family Field)

Corbin Burnes (2-1) (4.76) vs Brayan Bello (0-1) (16.88)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -175 / Boston Red Sox +135 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Boston Red Sox for their series finale this Sunday at American Family Field. Boston took the first contest after controlling the second half of the ball game, 5-3.

Red Sox Betting Preview

Boston is 11-11 after falling to Milwaukee. The Red Sox trailed throughout yesterday’s contest, and they'll look to take the rubber match this Sunday. The Boston offense is 4.83 scoring runs per game, while batting .247, with a .326 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 5.08 ERA, with a 1.35 WHIP. Alex Verdugo was on the wrong side of an outfield robbery last night, but he leads the Sox in hitting (.326) after recording multiple hits in four of the last seven games. Rafael Devers produced two more RBI versus the Brewers yesterday, and he’s up to a team-lead of 20.

Brayan Bello (0-1, 16.88 ERA, 5 Ks) will get the ball for Boston. The sophomore pitcher was dealt a tough hand in his season debut with the Angels last week. Bello battled both the inclement weather and a talented Halos lineup, and he allowed five runs in 2 ⅔ innings pitched. Bello did manage to strike out five, so he may be interesting from a props standpoint.

Brewers Betting Preview

Milwaukee moved to 15-6 after defeating Boston. The Brewers had their four-game win streak snapped in their first home game in over two weeks, and they’ll look to avenge that swiftly Saturday. The Milwaukee offense is 4.83 scoring runs per game, while batting .256, with a .333 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.07 ERA, with a 1.35 WHIP. William Contreras has doubled in both games versus Boston, and he leads the Brew Crew in hitting (.311). Brian Anderson wrestled the team-lead in RBI away from Rowdy Tellez in yesterday’s win, he’s up to 15.

Corbin Burnes (2-1, 4.76 ERA, 19 Ks) will make the start for Milwaukee. The ace of staff has rebounded from a tough opening to 2023 with a pair of winning road outings. Burnes dealt a gem in Phoenix, striking out eight in eight shutout innings versus the DBacks, before earning the victory in Seattle last week after 5 ⅓ innings pitched.

Boston vs Milwaukee Trends

Boston is 11-10 against the spread this season, with a 14-7 over/under record. Milwaukee is 13-7 ATS this year, with a 9-11 O/U record.

Corey's Free Pick

Milwaukee finds themselves in an ideal position, as they carry a distinctive advantage on the mound and they are the hosting squad. Boston has put up a respectable fight this weekend, but with Corbin Burnes set to start on Sunday, all signs are calling for a win here. When you factor in Boston throwing a youthful arm out there in Brayan Bello, it could quietly turn into a one-sided affair if he doesn't hold up. Back the Brew Crew again Sunday.