Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction - MLB Picks 4/22/23

Arizona Diamondbacks (12-9) vs San Diego Padres (10-12)

Game Info: Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)

Merrill Kelly (1-2) (3.37) vs Joe Musgrove (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +125 / San Diego Padres -145 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3 of their series on Saturday night at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 10-12 this season and they have won two of their last three games. San Diego won Game 1 of this series by a score of 7-5 on Thursday. The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this year. The Padres offense has scored 80 runs with a .217 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Xander Bogaerts is batting .349 with five home runs and 12 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Joe Musgrove, who is making his first appearance of the year. 

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 12-9 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Arizona won Game 2 in this series by a score of 9-0 on Friday night. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 102 runs with a .264 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. Josh Rojas is batting .324 with 10 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Merrill Kelly, who is 1-2 with a 2.53 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 21.1 innings pitched this year. 

Trends

San Diego is 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games and 5-3 in their last 8 road games. The over is 6-1-1 in San Diego’s last 8 Saturday games. Arizona is 6-2 in their last 8 home games and 20-41 in their last 61 Saturday games. The over is 5-0 in Arizona’s last 5 games. San Diego is 19-8 in these two teams last 27 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Diamondbacks will look to make it two wins in a row after dominating the Padres on Friday night. Arizona has played better than I thought they would so far this season, but their team ERA is 4.97. Arizona is starting Merrill Kelly, who has allowed four earned runs in his last 12 innings of work. I like how Arizona has looked in recent games and I am not sure how Musgrove will look his first game action, so I am taking Arizona in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Diamondbacks ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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