Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction - MLB Picks 4/21/23

Arizona Diamondbacks (11-8) vs San Diego Padres (9-11)

Game Info: Friday, April 21, 2023 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Zac Gallen (2-1) (3.33) vs Seth Lugo (2-0) (2.70)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -105 / San Diego Padres -116 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres and The Arizona Diamondbacks will play game two of their weekend series from Chase Field. The Padres took the first contest after scoring twice in the sixth, 7-5.

Padres Betting Preview

San Diego moved to 10-11 following the win over Atlanta. The Padres have won back-to-back games and can now climb back to .500 with a win over the NL West leaders here. The San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .223, with a .308 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.08 ERA, with a 1.36 WHIP. Xander Bogaerts homered for the fourth time in last night’s win, and he leads the team in batting average (.342). Veteran slugger Nelson Cruz is first on the team in RBI (12), after producing three in game three of the Milwaukee series last week.

Seth Lugo (2-0, 2.70 ERA, 17 K) is set to start for San Diego. The longtime Mets pitcher will look to avenge a tough outing versus Milwaukee that only saw him last 3 ⅔ innings. Lugo delivered in his first two starts, striking out twelve in thirteen innings, while allowing just two runs.

Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Arizona comes in at 8-7 after losing to Miami. The Diamondbacks let another game slip from them late, and they’ll look to avoid being swept here. The Arizona offense is scoring 4.13 runs per game, while batting .259, with a .304 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.41 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo has recorded multiple hits in back-to-back games, and he leads the team in hitting (.375). Christian Walker has produced a RBI in four of the last six games, and he leads the team in RBI (11).

Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA, 21 Ks) will get the ball for Arizona. The fifth-year pitcher has been dialed in over his last two starts, striking out eleven in seven shutout innings versus Milwaukee, then tossing seven Ks in 6 ⅔ run free innings in Miami last week.

San Diego vs Arizona Trends

San Diego is 10-11 against the spread this season, with a 10-11 over/under record. Arizona is 13-7 ATS this year, with a 11-8-1 O/U record.

Corey's Free Pick

San Diego is set to receive a big boost with Fernando Tatis returning, but with Arizona sending their ace to the mound at home, they have a chance to spoil his debut. Lineups aside, the Diamondbacks have been the better squad over the past three weeks, and they no longer represent a divisional doormat. The Pads struck first last nite, but I like the DBacks putting up a fight this Friday so spot them the runs at home.