Rays vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 4/19/23

Cincinnati Reds (7-10) vs Tampa Bay Rays (15-3)

Game Info: Wednesday, April 19, 2023 at 12:35 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Levi Stoudt (0-0) (0.00) vs Drew Rasmussen (2-1) (2.60)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +170 / Tampa Bay Rays -200 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 15-3 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Tampa Bay won Game 2 of this series by a score of 10-0 on Tuesday. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 2.72 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and a .196 opponent batting average this year. The Rays offense has scored 125 runs with a .286 batting average and a .358 on base percentage. Randy Arozarena is batting .313 with four home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched this season.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 7-10 this season and they have lost six of their last nine games. Cincinnati won Game 1 of this series by a score of 8-1 on Monday. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 5.24 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, and a .290 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 82 runs with a .243 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. TJ Friedl is batting .305 with two home runs and nine RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Levi Stoudt, who is making his first appearance of the year. 

Trends

Tampa Bay is 5-0 in their last 5 game three’s of a series and 5-10 in their last 15 road games. The over is 3-1-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 5 Wednesday games. Cincinnati is 7-26 in their last 33 Wednesday games and 3-7 in their last 10 game three’s of a series. The over is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 game three’s of a series. Tampa Bay is 1-5 in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings in Cincinnati.

Pick

The Rays were able to get back on track with a blowout win on Tuesday night and they will look for the series win in this game. Tampa Bay is starting Drew Rasmussen, who pitched well in his first two starts of the year, but allowed five earned runs to Toronto in his last start. I think Rasmussen will get back on track in this game and I like the Rays to win by at least two runs. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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