Phillies vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 4/13/23

Cincinnati Reds (4-7) vs Philadelphia Phillies (4-8)

Game Info: Thursday, April 13, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Nick Lodolo (1-0) (1.50) vs Bailey Falter (0-1) (2.61)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -120 / Philadelphia Phillies +100 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of their series on Thursday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-8 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss to Miami, where they lost two out of three games played. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 5.28 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and a .267 opponent batting average this season. The Phillies offense has scored 51 runs with a .282 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .333 with three home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Bailey Falter, who is 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this season.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 4-7 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss to the Braves, where they lost all three games played. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .267 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 49 runs with a .242 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this year. Jake Fraley is batting .333 with one home run and nine RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 12 innings pitched this season.

Trends

Philadelphia is 4-12 in their last 16 games and 1-5 in their last 6 Thursday games. The over is 6-1 in Philadelphia’s last 7 game one’s of a series. Cincinnati is 2-5 in their last 7 Thursday games and 5-16 in their last 21 game one’s of a series. The under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s last 6 Thursday games. Philadelphia is 8-21 in these two teams last 29 head to head meetings in Cincinnati. 

Pick

Both of these teams come into this series struggling and will look to get back on the winning track in this game. These two teams did play one series already, with Philadelphia winning two out of the three games. Both of these starting pitchers have had success early in this season, but I am going to give the edge to Philadelphia here, as they have the more talented lineup. 

David’s Pick Phillies ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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