Marlins vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 4/11/23

Philadelphia Phillies (4-6) vs Miami Marlins (4-7)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (0-1) (7.45) vs Jesus Luzardo (1-0) (0.71)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -150 / Miami Marlins +130 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 2 of their series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 4-7 this season and have lost three of their last four games. Prior to losing Game 1 of this series, Miami lost two out of three games against the Mets. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.53 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this year. The Marlins offense has scored 30 runs with a .233 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Garrett Cooper is batting .368 with three home runs and eight RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 1-0 with a 0.71 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 12.2 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-6 this season and have won three of their last four games. Philadelphia won Game 1 of this series by a score of 15-3 on Monday night. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 5.40 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 45 runs with a .285 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this year. Alec Bohm is batting .351 with three home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this season.

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Miami is 17-37 in their last 54 Tuesday games and 8-20 in their last 28 game two’s of a series. The under is 5-1 in Miami’s last 6 Tuesday games. Philadelphia is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games and 23-8 in their last 31 home games. The under is 5-2 in Philadelphia’s last 7 home games. Miami is 3-11 in these two teams last 14 head to head meetings.


Philadelphia is coming off of a dominating performance against Miami in Game 1, which came against the Marlins ace. The Phillies have played very well in their last few games and are playing much better than they were in their first two series. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed one run in two starts this season. The Phillies are starting Aaron Nola, who allowed five runs to Texas over 3.2 innings pitched in his first start, but he looked much better in his second start against the Yankees. I think the Marlins have a lot of value here, especially with Luzardo looking great in his first two starts, so I will take Miami to get the road win. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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