Astros vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 4/10/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-3) vs Houston Astros (4-6)

Game Info: Monday, April 10, 2023 at 6:35 pm (PNC Park)

Roansy Contreras (1-0) (1.59) vs Framber Valdez (0-1) (1.50)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +150 / Houston Astros -175 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 4-6 this season and have lost five of their last seven games. Houston is coming off of a series loss to Minnesota, where they lost two out of three games played. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .270 opponent batting average this season. The Astros offense has scored 47 runs with a .240 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .281 with three home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this year. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 6-3 this season and have won five of their last six games. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won two out of the three games in the series. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 42 runs with a .243 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this year. Bryan Reynolds is batting .405 with five home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Roansy Contreras, who is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP over 5.2 innings pitched this season. 

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Trends

Houston is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games and 19-7 in their last 26 road games. The under is 5-1-1 in Houston’s last 7 Monday games. Pittsburgh is 5-1 in their last 6 games and 4-1 in their last 5 game one’s of a series. The over is 8-2-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 11 game one’s of a series. Houston is 8-17 in these two teams last 25 head to head meetings.

Pick

Pittsburgh has started this season playing very well and has won five of their last six games, while Houston has struggled more than I thought they would. Houston will have Framber Valdez on the mound, who has allowed two earned runs over 12 innings of work this season. The Pirates will turn to Roansy Contreras, who pitched well in his first start against Boston. Both pitchers have started the season strong and I am taking the under here. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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