Padres vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 4/9/23

Atlanta Braves (6-3) vs San Diego Padres (5-4)

Game Info: Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 7:08 pm (Truist Park)

Dylan Dodd (1-0) (1.80) vs Seth Lugo (1-0) (1.29)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -120 / San Diego Padres +100 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 4 of their series on Sunday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 5-4 this season and have won two games in a row. The Padres won Games 2 and 3 of this series by scores of 5-4 and 4-1. The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average this season. The Padres offense has scored 40 runs with a .229 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Xander Bogaerts is batting .333 with three home runs and eight RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Seth Lugo, who is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and a 0.57 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this year. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 6-3 this season and have won four of their last six games. Prior to losing the first two games of this series, Atlanta won all three games against the Cardinals. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 44 runs with a .265 batting average and a .343 on base percentage this season. Matt Olson is batting .361 with three home runs and 10 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Dylan Dodd, who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season.

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San Diego is 21-8 in their last 29 game four’s of a series and 2-4 in their last 6 road games. The over is 8-4-1 in San Diego’s last 13 road games. Atlanta is 44-15 in their last 59 home games and 16-8 in their last 24 games against the NL West. The over is 6-2 in Atlanta’s last 8 Sunday games. San Diego is 6-2 in these two teams last 8 head to head meetings in Atlanta. 


The Padres have had very nice wins in Games 2 and 3 of this series and they will go for the series win in this matchup. Atlanta was 6-1 on the year after Game 1 of this series, but they have been out scored by a total of 9-5 in the last two games. San Diego will start Seth Lugo in this game, who held Colorado to one run over 7.0 innings pitched in his first outing. The Braves will turn to Dylan Dodd, who allowed one run over 5 innings of work against the Cardinals in his first start. Both of these pitchers had success in their first outings of the year and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here. Take the under. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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