Marlins vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 4/9/23

New York Mets (5-4) vs Miami Marlins (3-6)

Game Info: Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Citi Field)

Carlos Carrasco (0-1) (11.25) vs Braxton Garrett (0-0) (6.00)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -155 / Miami Marlins +135 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the New York Mets in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 3-6 this season and have lost five of their last seven games. Miami has lost the first two games in this series by scores of 9-3 and 5-2. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .215 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 20 runs with a .221 batting average and a .280 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .206 with three home runs and six RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP over 3.0 innings pitched this season. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 5-4 this season and have won two games in a row. Prior to winning the first two games of this series, New York got swept by the Brewers in Milwaukee. The New York pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 37 runs with a .213 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso is batting .235 with five home runs and 10 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Carrasco, who is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year. 

Trends

Miami is 2-7 in their last 9 Sunday games and 11-31 in their last 42 games against the NL East. The under is 3-0-1 in Miami’s last 4 Sunday games. New York is 9-4 in their last 13 Sunday games and 46-21 in their last 67 home games. The over is 4-1-1 in New York’s last 6 game three’s of a series. Miami is 8-21 in these two teams last 29 head to head meetings. 

Pick

New York comes into this matchup looking for the sweep and is already 5-1 against the Marlins this season. Miami has struggled offensively in recent games, scoring more than three runs in only one of their last six games. Neither pitcher found much success in their first outing of the year, but I trust Carrasco and the Mets a lot more than the Marlins right now. Take the Mets here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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