Pirates vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 4/3/23

Boston Red Sox (2-1) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2)

Game Info: Monday, April 3, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Kutter Crawford (0-0) (0.00) vs Johan Oviedo (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -160 / Pittsburgh Pirates +130 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-2 this season after they lost two out of three games to Cincinnati to open the year. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Pirates offense has scored eight runs with a .196 batting average and a .282 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz is batting .400 with one home run and three RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Johan Oviedo, who was 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP last year. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 2-1 this season after they won two out of three games against Baltimore in their opening series. The Boston pitching staff has a 7.67 ERA, a 1.96 WHIP, and a .339 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 27 runs with a .327 batting average and a .395 on base percentage this season. Adam Duvall is batting .571 with two home runs and eight RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who was 3-6 with a 5.47 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP last year. 

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Trends

Pittsburgh is 15-38 in their last 53 Monday games and 3-13 in their last 16 games against the AL East. The under is 6-2-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 9 Monday games. Boston is 8-1 in their last 9 home games and 1-4 in their last 5 game one’s of a series. The under is 10-2-1 in Boston’s last 13 Monday games. The under is 5-0 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings in Boston. 

Pick

Boston was able to win two of their first three games, but they gave up a lot of runs in the process. The Pirates won their first game, but only scored three runs combined in games two and three. I expect the Pirates to have a better offensive showing in this game, as Boston is starting Kutter Crawford, who did not pitch very well last season. I like the over in this game. 

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David’s Pick Over 9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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