Mets vs Brewers Prediction - MLB Picks 4/3/23

Milwaukee Brewers (2-1) vs New York Mets (3-1)

Game Info: Monday, April 3, 2023 at 2:10 pm (American Family Field)

Freddy Peralta (0-0) (0.00) vs Carlos Carrasco (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -120 / New York Mets +100 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of their series at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin on Monday afternoon. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 3-1 this season after they took three out of four in their first series against Miami. The New York pitching staff has a 2.06 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average this year. The Mets offense has scored 17 runs with a .223 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Mark Canha is batting .308 with one home run and two RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Carrasco, who was 15-7 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP last year. 

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 2-1 this season after they won their series against the Cubs. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .213 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 12 runs with a .235 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Jesse Winker is batting .375 with 0 home runs and four RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who was 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP last season. 

Trends

New York is 9-3 in their last 12 Monday games and 20-8 in their last 28 games against the NL Central. The over is 7-1 in New York’s last 8 game one’s of a series. Milwaukee is 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. The under is 8-1-1 in Milwaukee’s last 10 home games. New York is 3-15 in these two teams last 18 head to head meetings in Milwaukee.

Pick

Both of these teams won their first series of the season, but New York did play an extra game. New York pitched very well against Miami, only allowing eight runs in four games. Milwaukee got shut out in their home opener, but they bounced back with wins of 3-1 and 9-5. Both of these starting pitchers had pretty good seasons last year, but I have to give the edge to New York in this game. The Mets have the better lineup and I think Carrasco will start the year strong. Take New York here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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