Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros - 10/28/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Houston Astros (7-0) vs Philadelphia Phillies (9-2)

Game Info: Friday, October 28, 2022 at 8:03 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Justin Verlander (1-0) (6.30) vs Aaron Nola (2-1) (3.12)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -167 / Philadelphia Phillies +145 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Houston Astros in Game 1 of the World Series on Friday night at Minute Maid Park.

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the San Diego Padres in the NLCS in five games. Philadelphia won Games 1, 3, 4, and 5 by scores of 2-0, 4-2, 10-6, and 4-3. Philadelphia also defeated Atlanta and St. Louis earlier in the postseason. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, and a .191 opponent batting average this postseason. The Phillies offense has scored 57 runs with a .237 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .419 with five home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Phillies this postseason. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched in the playoffs.

The Houston Astros defeated the New York Yankees in the ALCS in four games. Houston won all of the games in this series by scores of 4-2, 3-2, 5-0, and 6-5. Houston defeated Seattle in the ALDS in a sweep as well. The Houston pitching staff has a 1.88 ERA, a 0.93 WHIP, and a .178 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 31 runs with a .227 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this postseason. Jeremy Pena is batting .303 with three home runs and five RBI’s for the Astros in the playoffs. The projected starter for Houston is Justin Verlander, who is 1-0 with a 6.30 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 10 innings pitched this postseason.

Philadelphia is 6-1 in their last 7 games and 4-0 in their last 4 game one’s of a series. The over is 5-2 in Philadelphia’s last 7 games. Houston is 7-0 in their last 7 playoff games and 1-6 in their last 7 home World Series games. The under is 6-1-1 in Houston’s last 8 home playoff games. Philadelphia is 1-4 in these two team's last 5 head-to-head meetings in Houston.

Houston comes into the World Series without losing a playoff game and will have home field advantage here. Philadelphia has gone 9-2 this postseason and has won six of their last seven games. Philadelphia has been the highest scoring team in the playoffs this year and will need their bats to stay hot if they want a chance in this series. Nola is coming off of an outing against the Padres where he allowed six earned runs over 4.2 innings for the Phillies. Verlander allowed six earned runs against Seattle in his first playoff start, but only allowed one earned run over 6 innings in his last start. I think both offenses will stay hot, and I like the over here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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