Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners - 10/15/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (92-74) vs Houston Astros (108-56)

Game Info: Saturday, October 15, 2022 at 4:07 pm (T-Mobile Park)

George Kirby (8-5) (3.37) vs Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) (2.27)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -106 / Houston Astros -110 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners meet Saturday in game 3 of the MLB ALDS at T-Mobile Park. The Houston Astros look to make their sixth straight ALCS appearance. The Seattle Mariners need a win to save their season and force a game 4 on Sunday.

The Houston Astros have come back to win both games, and finding ways to win just increases their confidence against a team they’ve owned over the years. The Astros just don’t lose to the Mariners, and it's a trend that’s continued well beyond this season. Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 4 hits and 7 RBI, while Yuli Gurriel and Jeremy Pena have combined for 6 hits and 1 RBI. Lance McCullers Jr. gets the ball, and he was 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. McCullers is 2-2 with a 2.83 ERA and 72 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Seattle Mariners can’t be feeling great after losing the first 2 games, as I’m sure they feel like they played well enough to win both meetings. The good news is the Mariners return home, where they’ve had incredible support and won 56.7 percent during the regular season. Eugenio Suarez leads the Mariners with 6 hits and 3 RBI, while Ty France and Adam Frazier have combined for 10 hits and 3 RBI. George Kirby gets the ball, and he was 8-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 133 strikeouts this season. This will be Kirby’s postseason debut.

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The Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 road games and 37-15 in their last 52 overall. The Mariners are 7-2 in their last 9 home games and 5-2 in their last 7 overall. The under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 overall. The over is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 overall. The Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Seattle and 50-19 in the last 69 meetings.

Lance McCullers Jr. hasn't pitched a ton this season, and he's been shaky on the road, where he has a 3.57 ERA and .268 allowed batting average. George Kirby is a rookie making his postseason debut, and that usually leads to nerves and possible mistakes. Current Astros are also hitting .304 against Kirby in 23 at bats. Reasonable total. I'll lean toward the over in this spot.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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