Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves - 10/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (101-61) vs Philadelphia Phillies (89-75)

Game Info: Tuesday, October 11, 2022 at 1:07 pm (Truist Park)

Max Fried (14-7) (2.48) vs Ranger Suarez (10-7) (3.65)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -200 / Philadelphia Phillies +159 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves face off on Tuesday afternoon in an MLB NLDS showdown at Truist Park. The Braves have won five of their last seven games against the Phillies. 

It only took two games against the St. Louis Cardinals for the Phillies to make it out of the wild card round of the playoffs. The Phillies beat the St. Louis Cardinals 6-3 in the first game, and in the last game they won 2-0. Aaron Nola had a strong game, pitching 6.2 innings, giving up four hits and zero runs. Kyle Schwarber is having a strong season, hitting 46 home runs and driving in 94 RBIs. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Braves, who finished the regular season with a 101-61 record. They started off the season slow, but they have played well after the first month of the season. The Braves' offense has put up 789 runs per game this year, which is 3rd best in the league. Matt Olson has hit 34 home runs and driven in 103 RBIs so far this season. 

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On the mound for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez, and he sits with a 10-7 record and an ERA of 3.65. In his last start against the Houston Astros, he went three innings, giving up seven hits and six runs. 

On the mound for the Braves will be Max Fried, who sits with a 14-7 record and an ERA of 2.48. In his last start against the Mets, he went five innings, giving up four hits and one run. Over his last three starts, he has given up only four runs total. 

The Phillies are 5-1 in their last six divisional games that were on the road. The Braves are 7-1 in their last eight home playoff games. The Phillies are 2-5 in their last seven meetings against the Braves. 

This total is too high. Suarez is coming off a bad start, but overall he has been pretty strong this year, sitting with an ERA of 3.65. Max Fried has been lights out this season, and the Phillies are going to struggle to score even a run here. This is going to be a low-scoring game, and the under will cash with ease. In terms of the side, it’s a lean to the Braves on the run line to win on the run line. 

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Shane’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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