Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers - 10/5/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (86-75) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (73-88)

Game Info: Wednesday, October 5, 2022 at 4:10 pm (American Family Field)

Corbin Burnes (12-8) (3.12) vs Merrill Kelly (13-8) (3.43)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -175 / Arizona Diamondbacks +161 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks do battle Wednesday night in a MLB contest at American Family Field. The Arizona Diamondbacks need a win after losing 6 of their last 8 games. The Milwaukee Brewers look for a win after splitting their last 10 games.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have split their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 138 hits and 93 RBI, while Daulton Varsho and Ketel Marte have combined for 243 hits and 126 RBI. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 13-8 with a 3.43 ERA and 170 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 2-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Brewers have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 145 hits and 57 RBI, while Willy Adames and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 254 hits and 167 RBI. Corbin Burnes gets the ball, and he is 12-8 with a 2.98 ERA and 238 strikeouts this season. Burnes is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks are 44-99 in their last 143 road games and 2-5 in their last 7 overall. The Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall. The under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 overall. The Diamondbacks are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Milwaukee and 6-17 in the last 23 meetings.

Merrill Kelly has been solid this season, and getting him in the underdog role is attractive. However, Corbin Burnes at home is a different animal. Burnes has been terrific this season over with his 2.98 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Kelly has also been hit hard as of late, allowing 22 earned runs in his last 36.2 innings. I'll take my chances with the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.

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Randy’s Pick Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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