Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds - 10/4/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (60-99) vs Chicago Cubs (73-86)

Game Info: Tuesday, October 4, 2022 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luis Cessa (3-4) (4.76) vs Javier Assad (2-2) (3.62)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -111 / Chicago Cubs -120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds face off on Tuesday in an MLB showdown at the Great American Ballpark. On Monday it was the Reds that were able to secure the 3-1 victory. 

The Cubs come into this game with 73-87 record overall and on Monday it was again the offense that wasn’t good enough scoring only one run. The Cubs on the season are averaging only four runs per game which is 23rd in the league. Ian Happ has had a big season for the Cubs hitting 17 home runs and driving in 72 RBIs so far this season. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Reds who sit with a 61-99 record overall and they had lost three games against the Cubs before securing the win on Monday. The Reds over the last four games has scored only six runs total, and they need to find a way to get the offense going here. The pitching was good on Monday, but they can’t expect they will find the success here with the pitching. 

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On the mound for the Cubs will be Javier Assad who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 3.62. In his last start against the Phillies, he went five innings giving up five hits and zero runs. 

On the mound for the Reds will be Luis Cessa who sits with a 4-4 record and an ERA of 4.76. In his last start against the Pirates, he went six innings giving up six hits and three runs. 

The Reds are 2-11 in their last 13 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in Cessa’s last eight games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last four games overall. The under is 5-0 in Cessas last 5 starts vs. National League Central.

I don’t see any other way to bet this game than with the under. The under has hit the last eight Cessa starts, and it will happen here. Assad in his last start gave up zero runs and the Reds are going to struggle to score even one run here. This will be a 3-1 type of game again, and the under will cash.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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