Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros - 10/3/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Houston Astros (103-55) vs Philadelphia Phillies (85-73)

Game Info: Monday, October 3, 2022 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Lance McCullers Jr. (4-1) (2.38) vs Aaron Nola (10-13) (3.36)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros / Philadelphia Phillies --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros face off on Monday in an MLB game at Minute Maid Park. 

The Phillies sit with an 86-73 record overall and on Sunday they scored eight runs on the way to an easy victory against the Washington Nationals. The Phillies are averaging 4.67 runs per game which is 7th best in the league. The pitching has also been good and is ranked 13th in the league. Kyle Schwarber has hit 44 home runs and driven in 92 RBIs so far this season. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Astros who sit with a 104-55 record overall and on Sunday they were able to pick up another win. The pitching only gave up three runs to the Tampa Bay Rays and that was enough to secure the victory. The Astros pitching is giving up 3.23 runs per game which is second in the league. Kyle Tucker has hit 29 home runs and driven in 104 RBIs. 

On the mound for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola who sits with a 10-13 record and an ERA of 3.26. In his last start against the Cubs, he went six innings giving up four hits and two runs. 

On the mound for the Astros will be Lance McCullers Jr who sits with a 4-1 record and an ERA of 2.38. In his last start against Tampa Bay, he went seven innings giving up six hits and two runs. 

The Astros are 4-0 in McCullers last four starts. The Phillies are 0-4 in Nola’s last four road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in McCuller’s last six starts on grass. The under is 4-0-1 in the Astros last five games on Monday.

The Astros have been finding success in McCuller’s starts and he’s going to find success again in this game. Nola has been good, but the Astros aren’t going to be giving him any run support and that will be the difference here as the Astros are going to get the job done. Back the Astros on the money line. This is the best play on the entire board. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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