Miami Marlins at New York Mets - 9/27/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

New York Mets (97-57) vs Miami Marlins (63-90)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 27, 2022 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Carlos Carrasco (15-6) (3.79) vs Pablo Lopez (9-10) (3.88)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -210 / Miami Marlins +175 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the New York Mets in Game 1 of their series at Citi Field on Tuesday night.

The Miami Marlins are 63-90 this season and have lost three of their last five games. Miami is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won two out of the three games played. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 547 runs with a .230 batting average and a .295 on base percentage. Miguel Rojas is batting .236 with six home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Pablo Lopez, who is 9-10 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 167 innings pitched this season.

The New York Mets are 97-57 this season and have won eight of their last ten games. New York is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won two out of the three games played in the series. The New York pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 735 runs with a .259 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this year. Pete Alonso is batting .270 with 39 home runs and 128 RBI’s for the Mets this season. The projected starter for New York is Carlos Carrasco, who is 15-6 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 145 innings pitched this season.

Miami is 16-38 in their last 54 games and 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The under is 10-2 in Miami’s last 12 Tuesday games. New York is 8-2 in their last 10 games and 1-5 in their last 6 Tuesday games. The over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 games. The over is 4-0 in these two teams last 4 head to head meetings.

New York enters this game with a slim lead on the Braves for first place in the NL East. The Mets are starting Carlos Carrasco, who has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last six starts. For the Marlins, Pablo Lopez has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow eight runs to the Mets earlier in September. I am taking the Mets to win this game by at least two runs.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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