The Houston Astros will play the Baltimore Orioles in Game 3 of their series at Camden Yards on Saturday night.
The Houston Astros are 99-53 this season and have won four of their last six games. Houston has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 2-0 and 6-0. The Houston pitching staff has a 2.91 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a .211 opponent batting average this season. The Astros offense has scored 687 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .301 with 37 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Astros this season. The projected starter for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 16-5 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 185.2 innings pitched this season.
The Baltimore Orioles are 79-71 this season and have won three games in a row. Prior to winning the first two games of this series, Baltimore lost two out of three games in their series against Detroit. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 622 runs with a .235 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this year. Anthony Santander is batting .244 with 27 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. The projected starter for Baltimore is Michael Baumann, who is 1-3 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 21 innings pitched this season.
Houston is 11-4 in their last 15 road games and 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games. The under is 19-6-1 in Houston’s last 26 Saturday games. Baltimore is 21-7 in their last 28 games against the AL West and 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass. The over is 8-2 in Baltimore’s last 10 Saturday games. Houston is 1-8 in these two teams last 9 head to head meetings.
Baltimore has made up some ground in the race for the last wild card spot in the AL, but still trails the Mariners by three games. Baltimore is starting Michael Baumann, who has allowed four earned runs over his last 10 innings pitched. For the Astros, Framber Valdez has allowed five earned runs over his last 21.2 innings pitched. I like the Astros to win this game by at least two runs.