Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies - 9/22/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

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The Atlanta Braves will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of their series at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday night.

The Atlanta Braves are 93-56 this season and have won five of their last six games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won two out of the three games played in the series. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average this season. The Braves offense has scored 731 runs with a .254 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Austin Riley is batting .276 with 37 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Braves this season. The projected starter for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 13-6 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 175.1 innings pitched this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are 81-67 this season and have lost five of their last six games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series split with Toronto, where they won one game and lost one game. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 694 runs with a .255 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .215 with 40 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. The projected starter for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 9-5 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 140.1 innings pitched this season.

Atlanta is 24-7 in their last 31 game one’s of a series and 1-4 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 Thursday games. Philadelphia is 9-3 in their last 12 Thursday games and 21-10 in their last 31 game one’s of a series. The over is 7-3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 11 Thursday games. Atlanta is 4-1 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.

Atlanta comes into this game trailed the Mets by one game in the NL East standings, while Philadelphia is currently in the last wild card spot by 2.5 games over the Brewers. Atlanta is starting Max Fried, who has allowed four runs over his last 17 innings pitched this season. For Philadelphia, Ranger Suarez has allowed eight runs over his last 16.2 innings pitched. I like the Phillies at home in this game.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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