Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves - 9/18/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (90-55) vs Philadelphia Phillies (80-65)

Game Info: Sunday, September 18, 2022 at 1:35 pm (Truist Park)

Spencer Strider (10-5) (2.72) vs Bailey Falter (5-3) (3.80)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -250 / Philadelphia Phillies +210 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series at Truist Park on Sunday afternoon.

The Philadelphia Phillies are 80-65 this season and have lost three games in a row. Philadelphia has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 7-2 and 4-3. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Phillies offense has scored 677 runs with a .255 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .214 with 39 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. The projected starter for Philadelphia is Bailey Falter, who is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 68.2 innings pitched this season.

The Atlanta Braves are 90-55 this season and have won three of their last four games. Prior to winning the first two games of this series, Atlanta lost two out of three games against San Francisco. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 716 runs with a .253 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Austin Riley is batting .278 with 36 home runs and 90 RBI’s for the Braves this season. The projected starter for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 10-5 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 125.2 innings pitched this season.

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Philadelphia is 5-3 in their last 8 games and 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games. The over is 5-0 in Philadelphia’s last 5 game three’s of a series. Atlanta is 39-13 in their last 52 home games and 53-25 in their last 78 games against the NL East. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta’s last 4 Sunday games. The over is 5-2-1 in these two teams last 8 head to head meetings.

Philadelphia has won the first two games of this series and is a big favorite in this game. The Braves are one game behind the Mets in the NL East and are starting Spencer Strider. Strider has allowed four earned runs over his last 19 innings pitched for the Braves. For the Phillies, Bailey Falter has allowed four runs over his last 17.2 innings pitched. These two pitchers have been very good over their last few starts and I think this sets up for a low scoring game. I like the under here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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