St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates - 9/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates (51-86) vs St. Louis Cardinals (81-58)

Game Info: Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 1:35 pm (PNC Park)

Mitch Keller (5-10) (4.22) vs Jose Quintana (5-6) (3.28)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +205 / St. Louis Cardinals -294 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Sunday in an MLB game at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals used a big ninth inning on Saturday to secure the victory. 

The Cardinals come into this game with an 82-58 record overall but they had lost two games in a row before winning on Saturday. In the two losses the pitching was really bad, and they need the pitching to be better here. The Cardinals offense is averaging 4.89 runs per game which is 4th in the league. Albert Pujols hit home run number 696 on Saturday as he tries to move closer to 700. 

The Pirates come into this game with a 51-87 record overall and far too often the pitching has really let them down late in games. The Pirates offense and pitching are both ranked 28th in baseball. The offense is averaging only 3.53 runs per game, and the offense needs to find success early in this game. Centerfielder Bryan Reynolds has had a nice season hitting 21 home runs and driving in 51 RBIs. 

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On the mound for the Cardinals is Jose Quintana who sits with a 5-6 record and an ERA of 3.41. In his last start against the Nationals, he went five innings giving up five hits and one run. 

On the mound for the Pirates will be Mitch Keller who sits with a 5-10 record and an ERA of 4.22. 

The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last six games on Sunday. The Pirates are 2-10 in their last 12 home games. The Pirates are 1-6 in Keller’s last seven starts on Monday. The over is 4-1-1 in Keller’s last six home starts. The over is 4-1 in Keller’s last five starts against the National League Central. 

The trends point towards the over when Keller is on the mound and I expect it will continue here. I don’t trust Keller who currently sits with an ERA of 4.22 and this game is going to get out of hand early with the Cardinals running up the score. The Cardinals might push this over by themselves. Back the over.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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