Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies - 8/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies (62-48) vs Miami Marlins (49-61)

Game Info: Thursday, August 11, 2022 at 1:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Kyle Gibson (7-4) (4.36) vs Edward Cabrera (2-1) (2.61)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -165 / Miami Marlins +140 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their series at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday afternoon.

The Miami Marlins are 49-61 this season and have lost nine of their last eleven games. Miami has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 4-1 and 4-3. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 419 runs with a .236 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Jesus Aguilar is batting .241 with 13 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are 62-48 this season and have won seven games in a row. Prior to winning the first two games of this series, Philadelphia won all four games in their series against Washington. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 524 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .212 with 34 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. The projected starter for Philadelphia is Kyle Gibson, who is 7-4 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 115.2 innings pitched this season.

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Miami is 8-3 in their last 11 Thursday games and 2-9 in their last 11 games. The under is 8-0 in Miami’s last 8 games. Philadelphia is 8-0 in their last 8 Thursday games and 7-0 in their last 7 games. The under is 6-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 8 game three’s of a series. Miami is 0-6 in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings.

These two teams are trending in opposite directions with Philadelphia being the much better team. Philadelphia will start Kyle Gibson, who has allowed nine runs in his last 16.1 innings pitched. For the Marlins, Edward Cabrera threw five innings of no hit baseball in his first start after being activated from a lengthy IL stint. I am going to take the under once again in this game. The under has been a popular play in Miami games this year as their offense has really struggled.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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