The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of their series at Camden Yards on Monday night.
The Toronto Blue Jays are 60-48 this season and have lost three of their last five games. Toronto is coming off of a series split with Minnesota, where they won two games and lost two games in the series. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 520 runs with a .264 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .290 with 23 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. The projected starter for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 4-5 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 74 innings pitched this season.
The Baltimore Orioles are 56-52 this season and have won five of their last six games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Pittsburgh, where they won two out of the three games played. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 454 runs with a .236 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this year. Anthony Santander is batting .255 with 19 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. The projected starter for Baltimore is Jordan Lyles, who is 8-8 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this season.
Toronto is 5-0 in their last 5 game one’s of a series and 4-1 in their last 5 games against the AL East. The over is 14-6 in Toronto’s last 20 games against the AL East. Baltimore is 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games and 5-1 in their last 6 games. The over is 6-1-1 in Baltimore’s last 8 Monday games. The over is 17-6-3 in these two teams last 26 head to head meetings.
Both of these teams come into this series fighting for a wild card spot. Toronto has the upper advantage in the standings, but only by four games. Baltimore saw their five game win streak snapped on Sunday and will look to get back on track here. Baltimore is starting Jordan Lyles, who has allowed four runs in his last 17 innings pitched. For the Blue Jays, Yusei Kikuchi allowed one run over five innings against the Tigers in his first start since going on the IL in early July. I like the over in this game as I think both offenses will have plenty of scoring chances.