The Detroit Tigers will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 4 of their series at Rogers Centre on Sunday afternoon.
The Detroit Tigers are 41-61 this season and have alternated win and losses over their last seven games. Detroit won Game 2 of this series by a score of 4-2 on Friday night. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this season. The Tigers offense has scored 330 runs with a .229 batting average and a .287 on base percentage. Javier Baez is batting .220 with nine home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. The projected starter for Detroit is Garrett Hill, who is 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 21 innings pitched this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays are 56-45 this season and have won nine of their last eleven games. Toronto has won Games 1 and 3 of this series by a score of 5-3 in both games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 491 runs with a .266 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .283 with 21 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. The projected starter for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 7-4 with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this season.
Detroit is 23-48 in their last 71 Sunday games and 2-12 in their last 14 games against the AL East. The over is 7-4-1 in Detroit’s last 12 games. Toronto is 9-2 in their last 11 games and 6-2 in their last 8 home games. The over is 5-1 in Toronto’s last 6 Sunday games. Detroit is 2-6 in these two teams last 8 head to head meetings.
Detroit wasn’t able to sustain their success that they had on Friday night and lost Game 3 of this series on Saturday. Toronto was able to come from behind with a four run 6th inning to win 5-3. In this game, Detroit is recalling Garrett Hill to start, who has allowed 12 runs in his last 15 innings of work. For the Blue Jays, Jose Berrios has allowed nine runs in his last 24 innings pitched. It is tough to back the Tigers with how poorly they have played this season. Berrios hasn’t been great this season, but he has looked better in recent starts. I like Toronto to win this game by at least two runs.