Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/30/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates (40-60) vs Philadelphia Phillies (53-47)

Game Info: Saturday, July 30, 2022 at 7:15 pm (PNC Park)

Mitch Keller (3-7) (4.55) vs Ranger Suarez (7-5) (3.84)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +135 / Philadelphia Phillies -160 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 3 of their series at PNC Park on Saturday night.

The Philadelphia Phillies are 53-47 this season and have won four of their last five games. Philadelphia has won the first two games of this series by scores of 8-7 and 4-2. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this season. The Phillies offense has scored 466 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .204 with 32 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. The projected starter for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 7-5 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 89 innings pitched this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 40-60 this season and have lost five games in a row. Prior to losing Games 1 and 2 of this series, Pittsburgh lost both games in their mini series against the Cubs. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 360 runs with a .220 batting average and a .288 on base percentage this year. Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .248 with five home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. The projected starter for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 3-7 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 95 innings pitched this season.

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Philadelphia is 5-0 in their last 5 road games and 6-2 in their last 8 Saturday games. The under is 8-3 in Philadelphia’s last 11 road games. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in their last 6 home games and 1-6 in their last 7 games against the NL East. The over is 5-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 6 game three’s of a series. Philadelphia is 6-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings.

Pittsburgh has struggled recently and comes into this game on a five game losing streak. Pittsburgh will look to get back on the winning track behind Mitch Keller, who has allowed four earned runs over his last 19 innings pitched. For the Phillies, Ranger Suarez has allowed 0 earned runs over his last 10 innings of work. I like the under in this game between two pitchers that have had success in recent outings.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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