Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds - 7/27/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (37-58) vs Miami Marlins (45-51)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 27, 2022 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luis Castillo (3-4) (2.77) vs Braxton Garrett (2-3) (3.42)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -132 / Miami Marlins +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds face off on Wednesday in an MLB showdown at Great American Ballpark. The two teams have split the first two games between the two teams. 

The Marlins sit with a 46-51 record overall and on Tuesday they leaned on some strong pitching to secure the victory. All season the success for the Marlins has usually been the pitching. The offense is averaging only 4.01 runs per game which is 24th, but the pitching staff is ranked 12th in the league. Garrett Cooper is having a strong season for the Marlins hitting seven home runs and driving in 40 RBIs. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Reds and they sit with a 37-59 record overall, but they wasted a good start by Hunter Greene on Tuesday. For the Reds, it’s been the pitching that has been the issue and they are giving up 5.37 runs per game which is 29th overall in the league. The top offensive player for the Reds has been Brandon Drury and he has hit 19 home runs and driven in 57 RBIs. 

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On the mound for the Marlins is Braxton Garrett who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 3.42. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates he went six innings giving up two hits and one run. 

On the mound for the Reds is Luis Castillo who sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 2.77. Over Castillo’s last two starts he has gone 14 innings total, giving up six hits and two runs. 

The Reds are 4-0 in Castillo’s last four starts. The Reds are 7-2 in their last nine home games. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last five games on Wednesday. The under is 5-1 in Castillo’s last six starts against a team with a losing record. 

There were only three runs scored on Tuesday, and I see much of the same in this game. Castillo sits with an ERA of 2.77 while Garrett is coming off a start where he gave up only one run. The Marlins might be shutout in this game, but I don’t see the Reds scoring much either. Back the under. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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