Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds - 7/25/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (36-58) vs Miami Marlins (45-50)

Game Info: Monday, July 25, 2022 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Nick Lodolo (2-3) (5.81) vs Trevor Rogers (4-9) (5.46)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -125 / Miami Marlins +105 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of their series at Great American Ball Park on Monday night.

The Miami Marlins are 45-50 this season and have lost five of their last seven games. Miami is coming off of a series win against Pittsburgh, where they won two out of the three games played in the series. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 385 runs with a .238 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Jesus Aguilar is batting .251 with 11 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Trevor Rogers, who is 4-9 with a 5.46 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 84 innings pitched this season.

The Cincinnati Reds are 36-58 this season and have lost three of their last five games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series win against St. Louis, where they won two out of the three games played. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 408 runs with a .239 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this year. Brandon Drury is batting .274 with 18 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Reds this season. The projected starter for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP over 26.1 innings pitched this season.

Miami is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the NL Central and 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The under is 5-1 in Miami’s last 6 Monday games. Cincinnati is 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 2-7 in their last 9 games against the NL East. The under is 6-2 in Cincinnati’s last 8 home games. The under is 20-8 in these two teams last 28 head to head meetings.

Miami continues to pitch very well this season, but is starting Trevor Rogers in this game. Rogers has allowed nine earned runs in his last 16 innings pitched for Miami and has an ERA of 5.46. For Cincinnati, Nick Lodolo has struggled since coming off of the IL and has allowed eight runs in his last seven innings of work. I like the over in this matchup, but the Marlins inability to come up with clutch hits is definitely a worry.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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