Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins - 7/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins - 7/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Marlins (41-43) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (36-50)

Game Info: Monday, July 11, 2022 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Trevor Rogers (4-7) (5.57) vs Mitch Keller (2-6) (5.21)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -158 / Pittsburgh Pirates +134 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of their series at loanDepot Park on Monday night.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 36-50 this season and have won two games in a row. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series win against Milwaukee, where they won two out of the three games played in the series. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average this season. The Pirates offense has scored 316 runs with a .221 batting average and a .289 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .261 with 15 home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. The projected starter for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 2-6 with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 76 innings pitched this season.

The Miami Marlins are 41-43 this season and have won two of their last three games. Miami is coming off of a series split with the Mets, where they won two games and lost two games in the series. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 359 runs with a .242 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this year. Jesus Aguilar is batting .250 with 11 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Trevor Rogers, who is 4-7 with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season.

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Pittsburgh is 7-16 in their last 23 game one’s of a series and 1-6 in their last 7 games against the NL East. The under is 4-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 5 games. Miami is 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games and 17-39 in their last 56 game one’s of a series. The under is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 Monday games. The over is 8-2-1 in these two teams last 11 head to head meetings.

Both of these come into this series after playing well over the weekend. Pittsburgh won their series in Milwaukee and Miami was able to split with the high-powered Mets. Neither starting pitcher in this matchup is very good and both pitchers have an ERA north of 5.00. I like the over in this matchup.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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