New York Mets at Atlanta Braves - 7/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves - 7/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Braves (52-35) vs New York Mets (53-33)

Game Info: Monday, July 11, 2022 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Max Fried (9-2) (2.52) vs Max Scherzer (5-1) (2.26)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -120 / New York Mets +100 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of their series at Truist Park on Monday night.

The New York Mets are 53-33 this season and have won three of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series split against Miami, where they won two games and lost two games in the series. The New York pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 409 runs with a .255 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .273 with 23 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Mets this season. The projected starter for New York is Max Scherzer, who is 5-1 with a 2.26 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 55.2 innings pitched this season.

The Atlanta Braves are 52-35 this season and have won six of their last seven games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won all three games played in the series. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 416 runs with a .251 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this year. Austin Riley is batting .282 with 23 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Braves this season. The projected starter for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 9-2 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this season.

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New York is 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games and 23-6 in their last 29 game one’s of a series. The over is 6-1-1 in New York’s last 8 Monday games. Atlanta is 4-0 in their last 4 game one’s of a series and 42-20 in their last 62 home games. The over is 17-7-1 in Atlanta’s last 25 games against the NL East. New York is 1-4 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings in Atlanta.

This is an excellent pitching matchup between the top two teams in the NL East. The Mets leads the Braves by 1.5 games in the standings, making this series very important for both squads. Max Scherzer has made one start since May 18th and he went six innings with no earned runs against the Reds. For the Braves, Max Fried has only allowed four runs in his last 26.2 innings of work. I love both of these pitchers and could see a very low scoring game here. I am taking the under.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/17/22 | Ron's Rundown

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