Miami Marlins at New York Mets - 7/9/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Miami Marlins at New York Mets - 7/9/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

New York Mets (52-32) vs Miami Marlins (40-42)

Game Info: Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 4:10 pm (Citi Field)

Carlos Carrasco (9-4) (4.53) vs Braxton Garrett (1-3) (4.25)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -185 / Miami Marlins +155 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the New York Mets in Game 3 of their series at Citi Field on Saturday afternoon.

The Miami Marlins are 40-42 this season and have won seven of their last nine games. Miami won Game 2 of this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday night. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 353 runs with a .242 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Garrett Cooper is batting .307 with seven home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 1-3 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 29.2 innings pitched this season.

The New York Mets are 52-32 this season and have won two of their last three games. New York won Game 1 of this series by a score of 10-0 on Thursday. The New York pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 404 runs with a .257 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this year. Pete Alonso is batting .274 with 22 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Mets this season. The projected starter for New York is Carlos Carrasco, who is 9-4 with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this season.

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Miami is 5-0 in their last 5 game three’s of a series and 7-2 in their last 9 games. The over is 13-4-1 in Miami’s last 18 game three’s of a series. New York is 16-6 in their last 22 home games and 13-5 in their last 18 game three’s of a series. The over is 5-1-1 in New York’s last 7 Saturday games. Miami is 10-27 in these two teams last 37 head to head meetings in New York.

The Marlins were able to bounce back and win Game 2 of this series after getting blown out in Game 1. New York has dominated Miami in New York lately, so I expect the Mets to bounce back here. Carlos Carrasco bounced back in his last start by only allowing one run over 5.2 innings pitched. In his previous two starts, Carrasco allowed 11 runs. For the Marlins, Braxton Garrett also allowed one run in his last start after allowing five runs in his previous start. I like the Mets to win this game by at least two runs behind a strong outing from Carrasco.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/17/22 | Ron's Rundown

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