Miami Marlins at New York Mets - 7/7/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Miami Marlins at New York Mets - 7/7/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

New York Mets (51-31) vs Miami Marlins (39-41)

Game Info: Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Trevor Williams (1-4) (4.34) vs Daniel Castano (1-1) (2.42)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -175 / Miami Marlins +145 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the New York Mets in Game 1 of their series at Citi Field on Thursday night.

The Miami Marlins are 39-41 this season and have won six of their last seven games. Miami is coming off of a series split against the Angels, where they won one game and lost one game in the mini series. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 348 runs with a .243 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Jesus Aguilar is batting .245 with 10 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Daniel Castano, who is 1-1 with a 2.42 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 26 innings pitched this season.

The New York Mets are 51-31 this season and have won three of their last four games. New York is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of the three games played in the series. The New York pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 392 runs with a .257 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this year. Pete Alonso is batting .281 with 22 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Mets this season. The projected starter for New York is Trevor Williams, who is 1-5 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 45.2 innings pitched this season.

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Miami is 6-1 in their last 7 games and 6-1 in their last 7 Thursday games. The under is 5-1 in Miami’s last 6 road games. New York is 7-1 in their last 8 Thursday games and 15-5 in their last 20 home games. The over is 5-1 in New York’s last 6 game one’s of a series. Miami is 9-26 in these two teams last 35 head to head meetings in New York.

The Mets come into this game as one of the best teams in baseball, but will face a stiff challenge from the Marlins starting pitcher. Miami is starting Daniel Castano, who has allowed seven earned runs in his last 22 innings of work. For the Mets, Trevor Williams has allowed eight runs over his last two starts. I think Miami has some good value here given the pitching matchup, but it is risky to go against the mighty Mets.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/17/22 | Ron's Rundown

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