Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves - 6/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves - 6/11/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Braves (32-27) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (24-32)

Game Info: Saturday, June 11, 2022 at 4:10 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (4-3) (5.63) vs Zach Thompson (3-4) (4.60)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -255 / Pittsburgh Pirates +205 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series at Truist Park on Saturday afternoon.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-32 this season and have lost four games in a row. Pittsburgh has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 3-1 and 4-2. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Pirates offense has scored 192 runs with a .225 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .233 with eight home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. The projected starter for Pittsburgh is Zach Thompson, who is 3-4 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 45 innings pitched this season.

The Atlanta Braves are 32-27 this season and have won nine games in a row. Prior to their first two wins in this series, Atlanta won both games played against the Athletics. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 266 runs with a .245 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this year. Austin Riley is batting .260 with 15 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Braves this season. The projected starter for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 4-3 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched this season.

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Pittsburgh is 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games and 0-4 in their last 4 games. The under is 5-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 6 games. Atlanta is 9-0 in their last 9 games and 12-3 in their last 15 Saturday games. The under is 11-2 in Atlanta’s last 13 Saturday games. Pittsburgh is 1-11 in these two teams last 12 head to head meetings in Atlanta.

Atlanta has absolutely dominated the Pirates in their last 12 games in Atlanta and they come into this game on a nine game win streak. The pitching matchup for this game is interesting with both pitchers having elevated ERA’s. For the Pirates, Thompson has been pretty good in recent starts, allowing just two runs in his last 10.2 innings. For the Braves, Morton has struggled lately, allowing four runs in each of his last three starts (14.1 innings). I like the over in this game but I also think there is some good value on the Pirates with them having the pitching advantage.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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