Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds - 6/5/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds - 6/5/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Albert Cesare / USA TODAY NETWORK

Cincinnati Reds (18-34) vs Washington Nationals (20-35)

Game Info: Sunday, June 5, 2022 at 1:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luis Castillo (2-2) (3.38) vs Patrick Corbin (1-8) (6.96)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -147 / Washington Nationals +110 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds face off on Sunday in an MLB showdown at the Great American Ballpark. The Natioanls have won the first two games of this series. The Nationals offense has been the difference scoring 18 runs. 

The Nationals come into this game with a 20-35 record and the last two games the offense has been quite impressive. Before the last two wins though, the Nationals had lost four games in a row. The Nationals offense is ranked 21st and their pitching is ranked 29th. Josh Bell has hit five home runs and driven in 28 RBIs. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Reds who sit with an 18-34 record but they have lost two of their last three games. Over the last two games, they have 13 runs. But the pitching staff has really let them down. The Reds offense has been decent most of the season but their pitching hasn’t given them chances. Kyle Farmer has hit five home runs and driven in 30 RBIs.

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On the mound for the Nationals is Patrick Corbin who sits with a 1-8 record and an ERA 6.96. In his last start against the New York Mets, he went 4.1 innings giving up 12 hits and seven runs. 

On the mound for the Reds is Luis Castillo who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 3.38. In his last start against the Red Sox, he went six innings giving up one hit and zero runs. 

The Nationals are 1-7 in Corbin's last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in Luis Castillo’s last five starts on four days rest. The under is 4-0 in Castillo’s last four starts overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Corbin's last 5 starts vs. National League Central.

The trends point to the under and I expect that is what will cash here. Castillo has been strong this season and in his last start he gave up zero runs. Look for the Nationals bats to struggle against him, and the Reds won’t score enough to push it over. Back the under.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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