San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds - 4/28/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds - 4/28/22 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Cincinnati Reds (3-15) vs San Diego Padres (12-7)

Game Info: Thursday, April 28, 2022 at 12:35 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Tyler Mahle (1-2) (5.29) vs Nick Martinez (0-2) (4.30)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -105 / San Diego Padres -115 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 3 of their series at Great American Ball Park on Thursday afternoon.

The San Diego Padres are 12-7 this season and have won three of their last four games. San Diego has won the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 9-6. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .208 opponent batting average this season. The Padres offense has scored 84 runs with a .229 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jurickson Profar is batting .228 with five home runs and 15 RBI’s this season for the Padres. The projected starter for San Diego is Nick Martinez, who is 0-2 this season with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched.

The Cincinnati Reds are 3-15 this season and have lost 13 of their last 14 games. Prior to losing Games 1 and 2 of this series, Cincinnati lost two of three to the Cardinals. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 5.76 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP, and a .268 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 54 runs with a .195 batting average and a .268 on base percentage this season. Tommy Pham is batting .196 with three home runs and four RBI’s for the Reds this season. The projected starter for Cincinnati is Tyler Mahle, who is 1-2 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP over 17 innings pitched this season.

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San Diego is 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite and 6-2 in their last 8 road games. The over is 4-1 in San Diego’s last 5 Thursday games. Cincinnati is 7-2 in their last 9 Thursday games and 17-37 in their last 54 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Cincinnati’s last 4 Thursday games. San Diego is 11-1 in these two teams last 12 head to head meetings

The Reds cannot be trusted right now and are the worst team in the MLB. San Diego has dominated Cincinnati in their last 12 matchups and there is no reason to think it won’t continue here. Neither pitcher has been very sharp, so the over may be worth a look as well, but I am going with Padres ML here.

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David’s Pick Padres ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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