Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox - 10/10/21 MLB Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox - 10/10/21 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Red Sox (94-71) vs Tampa Bay Rays (101-63)

Game Info: Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 4:07 pm (Fenway Park)

Nathan Eovaldi (12-9) (3.64) vs Drew Rasmussen (4-1) (2.84)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -128 / Tampa Bay Rays +108 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in Game 3 of the ALDS in MLB action at Fenway Park. The Rays need a win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Red Sox look for back-to-back wins to take a 2-1 series lead.

The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 11 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last 10 games. The Rays have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring four or more runs. Wander Franco leads the Rays with four hits and one RBI, while Nelson Cruz and Ji-Man Choi have combined for four hits and two RBI. Drew Rasmussen gets the ball, and he was 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. Rasmussen is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Boston Red Sox have scored 20 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Red Sox have won 13 straight games when scoring four or more runs. Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox with six hits and four RBI, while Alex Verdugo and Enrique Hernandez have combined for 12 hits and eight RBI. Nathan Eovaldi gets the ball, and he was 11-9 with a 3.75 ERA and 195 strikeouts this season. Eovaldi is 3-1 with a 1.63 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his postseason career.

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The Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 games following an off day, and 48-23 in their last 71 Sunday games. The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 playoff games and 7-3 in their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1-2 in Rays last 9 road games. The under is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 overall. The Rays are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings in Boston and 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.

Rasmussen is coming off a ridiculous month of September where he allowed 16 hits and four runs in 24 innings, and he had a 2.09 ERA and .190 allowed batting average on the road, which are much better than his home splits. Eovaldi gave the Red Sox a strong 5.1 innings against the Yankees, and he's allowed eight hits and one run in his last 11.1 innings. It's hard to turn down the Rays at plus money, but the Red Sox bats are hot, they always have a great crowd in the postseason and Eovaldi has proven himself as a big game pitcher. I lean Red Sox in game 3.

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Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox -128

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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