Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays - 10/7/21 MLB Picks and Prediction

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays - 10/7/21 MLB Picks and Prediction Photo by Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) vs Boston Red Sox (93-70)

Game Info: Thursday, October 7, 2021 at 8:07 pm (Tropicana Field)

Shane McClanahan (10-6) (3.36) vs () ()

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -200 / Boston Red Sox +159 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays meet Thursday in Game 1 of the ALDS in MLB action at Tropicana Park. The Red Sox look for another victory after just beating the Yankees in a wild card game. The Rays won 100 games and are in the postseason for a third straight year for the first time in franchise history.

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a 6-2 win over the Yankees and are in the ALDS for the fourth time in the last six seasons. The Red Sox have scored 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last six games. The Red Sox have won 12 straight games when scoring four or more runs. Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with two hits and three RBI while Kevin Plawecki and Kyle Schwarber have combined for two hits and one RBI. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball, and he was 13-8 with a 4.74 ERA and 185 strikeouts this season. Rodriguez is 0-0 with a 8.10 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Tampa Bay Rays enter this series winning seven of their last 10 games. The Rays have scored 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last nine games. The Rays have won nine straight games when scoring four or more runs. Randy Arozarena leads the Rays with 145 hits and 69 RBI while Brandon Lowe and Joey Wendle have combined for 254 hits and 153 RBI. Shane McClanahan gets the ball, and he was 10-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 141 strikeouts this season. McClanahan is 0-0 with a 8.31 ERA and four strikeouts in his postseason career.

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The Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The Rays are 38-14 in their last 52 games as a favorite and 4-1 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff home games. The under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 overall. The under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 overall. The Red Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Tampa Bay and 4-11 in the last 15 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Rays should be favored in this spot, as they've been easily the better and more consistent team this season and have a clear rest advantage. However, we've seen teams in the past that had to play the wild card game jump right into a new series and have success. As good as McClanahan has been this season, he's still a fairly young pitcher with limited big game reps. The Red Sox offense is experienced and is starting to heat up at the right time. I know I'm probably taking a bit of a shot in the dark here, but I see some value on the Red Sox and the big plus money.

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Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox +159

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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