MLB Picks and Predictions for 10/1/21 Free MLB Picks

MLB Picks and Predictions for 10/1/21 Free MLB Picks Photo by Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

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MLB Games on Friday, October 1st

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It’s the last full Friday of MLB baseball and that means there is plenty of value in terms of free MLB picks. Let’s take a look at a free MLB pick on each of the games. 

Cincinnati Reds -174 at Pittsburgh Pirates +144 

The Cincinnati Reds are playing the better baseball as of late, and they are going to get the job done. Luis Castillo still has a high ERA, but the last few months he has been playing a lot better. Over his last two starts, he has gone 12.1 innings giving up only two runs. The Pirates are going to struggle to score, and the Reds will win on the run line. 

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Play: Reds -1.5 

Boston Red Sox -185 at Washington Nationals +165 Total: 9

This is a perfect opportunity to take the underdog. Eduardo Rodriguez has been pitching better as of late but he still has been inconsistent this season. Over Josh Rogers last three starts he has given up only four runs total. Look for the Nationals to pull the upset. 

Play: Nationals ML

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

This is a huge game for the New York Yankees and they are going to find success. Nestor Cortes Jr hasn’t been lights out, but he has been good, The Yankees bats are hitting .256 against left handers, and those hot bats are going to continue. Back the Yankees on the money line. 

Play: Yankees ML

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays 

The Toronto Blue Jays need a win in this game, and they are going to rise to the occasion. Steven Matz hasn’t been as lights out as of late but he still has a 13-7 record and an ERA of 3.88. The Orioles have only 26 wins on the road this season, the Blue Jays will win this game on the run line. 

Play: Blue Jays -1.5

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins

There have been no starting pitchers announced for this game.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves 

The Braves might be the highest-scoring offense on Friday. Tylor Megill gets the start for the Mets and over his last two starts he has gone seven innings giving up ten runs. The Braves are going to have no issue getting to Megill early, and the Braves will win this game on the run line. I will also be betting the Braves -2.5.

Play: Braves -1.5

Cleveland Indians -119 at Texas Rangers -101 Total: 9

The Indians are being disrespected with this line. Eli Morgan’s ERA looks high, but over his last two starts he has went 12 innings giving up only one run and that came on a home run. Spencer Howard still doesn’t have a win yet, and the Indians are going to have no issues. Back the Indians on the money line. 

Play: Indians ML

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals 

We have faded John Gant for since he joined the Twins, and we are going to continue to do it in this game. In his last start against the Blue Jays he went three innings giving up three hits and two runs. Look for the Royals to get to him, and the home team will win this game on the money line. 

Play: Royals ML

Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros 

Sean Manaea has been up and down this season but he is coming off a start against the Astros where he went seven innings giving up three hits and one run. The Astros offense wasn’t great the first two games against the Rays and runs are going to be hard to come by in this game. Back the A’s. 

Play: A’s ML

Detroit Tigers +210 at Chicago White Sox -250 Total: 8.5

This is a perfect opportunity to take the Detroit Tigers as big underdogs. Lance Lynn has no doubt been good, but so has Wily Perelta who has given up only two runs total over his last three starts. It’s going to be a competitive battle, but the Tigers will pull it out in a low-scoring affair. 

Play: Tigers ML +210

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals 

The Cardinals finally had their win streak broken a few games back and although they are back on the right track, now is a good chance to take the Cubs. On the mound for the Cardinals is Dakota Hudson who went 3.2 innings giving up four hits and two runs in his last start against the Cubs. The Cardinals could rest some guys in this game, and the Cubs will pull the upset. 

Play: Cubs ML

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks 

The Colorado Rockies have been awful on the road this season, and I don’t trust Jon Gray. In his last start he went 4.2 innings giving up five hits and four runs. There are plenty of different better games to bet, but if you want to bet this one, the Diamondbacks are the only way to bet it. 

Play: Diamondbacks ML 

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

There have been no starting pitchers announced for this game. 

Los Angeles Angels +155 at Seattle Mariners -185 Total: 8

The Los Angeles Angels blew their game on Thursday against the Rangers, and the Mariners have made the playoff race interesting going into the final weekend. Marco Gonzales has been pitching really well coming into this game and in his last start against the Angels he went seven innings giving up three hits and one run. Gonzales and the Mariners bullpen will lock down.

Play: Mariners ML 

Milwaukee Brewers +173 at Los Angeles Dodgers -208 Total: 8

The Dodgers still have something to play for and it looks like the Brewers are just ready for the playoffs to be. It’s not quite the playoffs yet, so Clayton Kershaw should still find success. The Brewers bats have been cold, and their lack of scoring will let them down again. Back the Dodgers on the run line.

Play: Dodgers -1.5


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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/12/22 | Ron's Rundown

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