MLB Picks and Predictions for 9/11/2021 - Free MLB Picks
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Free MLB Picks
MLB Games on Saturday, September 11, 2021
We have a full slate of MLB games on Saturday, September 11, 2021, with all 30 teams set to play. We even have a double-header added into the mix. Check out our best picks below, as well as the updated betting odds.
San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs Total:
The Giants Kevin Gausman is 7-2 with a 1.95 ERA on the road this season. He also tossed seven shutout innings with just two hits allowed when he faced the Cubs earlier in the year. The Cubs’ Zach Davies has allowed too many baserunners all season long, and over the last seven days the Giants are hitting .326 with runners in scoring position. Take the Giants on the road.
Pick: San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers +140 Oakland Athletics -160 Total: 8.5
The last time the Rangers’ Kolby Allard did not allow multiple runs in a start was June 12 against the Dodgers. Texas is 2-12 in his starts in that span. The A’s Cole Irvin is no sure thing, but he was able to pitch well in a win the last time he faced Texas at home. Fade the Rangers.
Pick: Oakland Athletics -160
Toronto Blue Jays -233 Baltimore Orioles +200 Total: 8.5
With odds as good as this, it’s hard to resist taking a flyer on the Orioles. However, it is hard to find a reason to justify it. The Blue Jays’ Hyun Jin Ryu has only allowed one run in each of his two starts in Baltimore. Toronto’s offense has also been on a tear, ranking in the top five in nearly every offensive category over the last two weeks, including a league-leading .877 OPS. The Orioles’ Keegan Akin has only lasted a combined 9.1 innings in two starts against he Blue Jays, allowing seven runs and 3 home runs. Take the Blue Jays on the run line.
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles Total:
With neither team naming a starter for this one, the bullpens will probably handle most of this seven-inning slate. I expect the Blue Jays to have a more rested staff with Ryu pitching in game one, and their bullpen has been reliable all season. The Orioles have not been able to find any consistency out of their ‘pen, and they rank 30th with a 6.17 ERA over the last 30 days. Take the Blue Jays for the sweep.
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Colorado Rockies +165 Philadelphia Phillies -185 Total: 7
After a few bad outings, the Phillies Zach Wheeler returned to form in his last start. He tossed six shutout innings in Milwaukee, tossing nine strikeouts in the win. The Rockies have been struggling from the plate over the last few weeks, hitting just .224 as a team. The Phillies are averaging 5.7 runs per game over that same stretch. Take the home team.
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -185
Milwaukee Brewers -192 Cleveland Indians +165 Total: 7
The Brewers have not lost in Corbin Burnes last nine starts; he has a 2.40 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .215 BAA in those games. The Indians’ Zac Plesac has allowed over a hit per inning over the last two months. Cleveland is also averaging just 3.3 runs per game over the last week. Take the Brewers on the road.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -192
Tampa Bay Rays -150 Detroit Tigers +130 Total: 9
The Tigers Casey Mize will have to face the leagues top scoring offense over the last 30 days in this one. The Rays have averaged 6.6 runs per game over that stretch. Mize is a contact pitcher so there will be opportunities for the Rays to continue their great run. Give me Tampa Bay.
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -150
Washington Nationals -152 Pittsburgh Pirates +130 Total: 8
These starters have been awful of late. The Pirates Wil Crowe has allowed 15 runs in his last three starts, with the Nationals Patrick Corbin also allowing 15 runs over his last three. With both bullpens also boasting ERAs over 5.00 over the last 30 days, expect some scoring in this one.
Pick: Over 8
Los Angeles Angels +225 Houston Astros -263 Total: 8
The Angels rank last in the majors with a .195 average over the last seven days, struggling to find any offense to complement Shohei Ohtani. The Astros’ Luis Garcia has a 1.83 ERA at home this season, and Houston has won his last four starts there. Take the Astros at home.
Pick: Houston Astros -263
Boston Red Sox +165 Chicago White Sox -192 Total: 9
The Red Sox have had a few injuries to their staff, losing Chris Sale and Nick Pivetta over the last week so have yet to announce a starter for this one. The bullpen has not been reliable this season, with their 1.40 WHIP ranking near the bottom of the league. Their offense however has continued to impress, hitting .306 with 5.6 runs per game over the last week. The White Sox are right behind them, so expect some crooked digits on the scoreboard.
Pick: Over 9
Kansas City Royals +135 Minnesota Twins -156 Total: 8.5
The Twins Michael Pineda will be making his first start since August 13 after tossing three scoreless innings in relief last week against the Indians. He only allowed one run in his lone start against Kansas City this season. The Royals’ Brady Singer has only allowed two earned runs in his last three starts, including seven scoreless innings in his last outing. The Twins have only averaged three runs per game over the last two weeks, and rank near the bottom of the majors with a .224 average over that stretch. Take the under.
Pick: Under 8.5
Cincinnati Reds +105 St. Louis Cardinals -116 Total: 7
The Cardinals’ Miles Mikolas has allowed almost two baserunners an inning in his last three starts, including allowing four runs in three innings against the Reds. Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo has gotten better as the season has gone on and has gone at least six innings in each of his last five starts. Take the Reds on the road.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds +105
Miami Marlins +235 Atlanta Braves -278 Total: 7.5
The Marlins are hitting just .218 as a team with 3.3 runs per game over the least two weeks. The Braves lead the league with 29 home runs over that stretch. Marlins’ starter Elieser Hernandez has given up five home runs in his last three starts. Lay the juice.
Pick: Atlanta Braves -278
New York Yankees -128 New York Mets +118 Total: 8
The Yankees’ Corey Kluber has not made it past the fourth inning since returning from the IL, allowing seven runs in 7.2 innings pitched. New York is 0-2 in those starts. The Bronx Bombers have also cooled off from the plate, hitting just .226 with 3.7 runs per game over the last two weeks. The Mets have been playing well, so they are a great value as the home dogs. Take a chance on the Mets.
Pick: New York Mets +118
Arizona Diamondbacks +140 Seattle Mariners -160 Total: 8.5
The Mariners’ Chris Flexen has been consistent over his last seven starts, going at least five innings with no more than three runs allowed. The Diamondbacks rank last in the majors with a .206 average over the last two weeks. The Diamondbacks Humberto Castellanos allowed five runs in 3.2 innings in his last start against Seattle. Take the Mariners at home.
Pick: Seattle Mariners -160
San Diego Padres +175 Los Angeles Dodgers -195 Total: 8
The Dodgers’ Walker Buehler had a rough outing last time out, but will be back home where he is 8-2 with a 2.16 ERA this season. The Padres have only scored four runs in 19.2 innings against him this year. On the flip side, the Dodgers offense has been in a rut, with a .207 average and 3.7 runs per game over the last two weeks. Fade the total.
Pick: Under 8