MLB Picks and Predictions for 9/5/2021 - Free MLB Picks
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Free MLB Picks
MLB Games on Sunday, September 5, 2021
We have a full slate of MLB games on Sunday, September 5, 2021, with all 30 teams set to play. Check out our best picks below, as well as the updated betting odds.
Baltimore Orioles +260 New York Yankees -312 Total: 9.5
The Yankees’ Corey Kluber has looked vulnerable at times over the last few weeks, and in the last two starts he has allowed seven runs in just seven innings pitched. The Orioles’ Keegan Akin has allowed just one run in each of his last two starts and limited the Yankees to just three runs and five hits across 6.1 innings when these two faced earlier in the season. Take a chance on the Orioles as the huge underdogs.
Pick: Baltimore Orioles +260
New York Mets -125 Washington Nationals +110 Total: 9
The Nationals have had success against the Mets’ Taijuan Walker this year, averaging a hit per inning with two home runs in two games his season. On the other side, the Nats’ Josiah Gray has allowed multiple runs in each of his last five starts, with eight home runs given up over that span. Take the over here.
Pick: Over 9
Oakland Athletics +180 Toronto Blue Jays -208 Total: 9.5
The Blue Jays Robbie Ray and the A’s Cole Irvin both put out quality starts when these two played earlier in the season. These offenses have also been lackluster of late, with both teams hitting under .250 and averaging four runs per game over the last two weeks. Take the under in what should be a pitchers’ duel.
Pick: Under 9.5
Cleveland Indians +135 Boston Red Sox -155 Total: 9.5
The Red Sox lead the league with an .824 OPS, while averaging 5.5 runs per game over the last 30 days. The Indians have been just as successful over that stretch, averaging five runs per game with an .802 OPS. Cleveland should however the edge on the mound, as Zach Plesac looked sharp in his last start, and their staff has a .228 BAA over the last two weeks. Give me the Indians.
Pick: Cleveland Indians +135
Detroit Tigers +175 Cincinnati Reds -210 Total: 8.5
The Reds’ Luis Castillo has to prove he can get back to his midseason form in September after he had a shaky August that saw him surrender a hit per inning with a 4.50 ERA. In addition, the Tigers offense average over five runs per game with a .288 team average and .882 OPS over the last seven days. Detroit’s expected starter Casey Mize has been one of their best all year and has a respectable 3.50 ERA on the road this season. Take the Tigers to upset the Reds on the road.
Minnesota Twins +180 Tampa Bay Rays -208 Total: 9
The Twins will take another chance at sending out the young Griffin Jax on Sunday; he has allowed 19 runs in his last three starts, and has a 8.36 ERA in day games this season. The Rays have been getting it done from the plate, averaging five runs per game over the last week. Lay the juice on Tampa Bay.
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -208
Philadelphia Phillies -170 Miami Marlins +150 Total: 7
The Philllies have yet to announce a starter for this one, and their staff ranks second to last in the majors with a 6.14 ERA over the last week. However, their offense has averaged 7.2 runs per game over the same stretch, so expect them to keep pace with the Marlins on Sunday.
Pick: Over 7
Chicago White Sox -160 Kansas City Royals +140 Total: 9
Dylan Cease has looked great in his last two starts for Chicago, allowing just one run in each of his last two starts, tossing 18 strikeouts over those 13 innings. Kansas City has averaged just 3.4 runs per game over the last week. Expect the White Sox to press the advantage and cruise to a win on the road.
Pick: Chicago White Sox -160
St. Louis Cardinals +225 Milwaukee Brewers -263 Total: 7.5
Corbin Burnes has owned the Cards’ this season, allowing just one run through 17 innings pitched with 21 strikeouts. The Cardinals’ Jon Lester has been the opposite story against Milwaukee, allowing 14 baserunners in 8.1 innings pitched this season. Look for the Brewers to scratch enough across for Burnes to earn another win.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -263
Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago Cubs Total:
The Cubs’ Zach Davies had a brutal August, with a 7.00 ERA and 11 home runs allowed in six starts. Their offense is also hitting just .238 with 3.8 runs per game over the last week. Take a chance on the Pirates to steal one on the road.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves -135 Colorado Rockies +115 Total: 11
Charlie Morton has been brilliant for the Braves on the road, going 7-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 12 starts this season. The Rockies Austin Gomber has allowed 17 runs in his last four starts, while also allowing nearly two baserunners per inning over that span. Take the Braves with great value on the road.
Pick: Atlanta Braves -135
Texas Rangers -105 Los Angeles Angels -105 Total: 8
The Rangers offense has been having one of their better stretches over the last week, averaging 5.6 runs per game and hitting a collective .289 from the plate. Their expected starter Taylor Hearn looked good in August, with a 2.92 ERA and .233 OBA last month. Take Texas to get the win.
Pick: Texas Rangers -105
Houston Astros +105 San Diego Padres -116 Total: 8
The Astros’ Luis Garcia hit his groove in August, going 3-1 with a 3.34 ERA and 36 strikeouts. They have done a good job supporting him over that time, as they have scored 26 runs in those five games. The Padres’ Chris Paddack has not pitched well in San Diego, allowing 58 hits in 42.1 innings with a 6.59 ERA. Take the Astros as the rare underdog.
Pick: Houston Astros +105
Seattle Mariners -125 Arizona Diamondbacks +110 Total: 8.5
Both offenses have underperformed over the last two weeks, with the Mariners hitting a collective .221 and the Diamondbacks .233. We should have a great matchup on the mound, with the Mariners’ Chris Flexen facing off with Arizona’s Tyler Gilbert. Do not expect a lot of scoring, fade the total.
Pick: Under 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers -150 San Francisco Giants +130 Total: 8
LA will be sending out their ace Walker Buehler, who is 5-0 with a 1.88 ERA on the road this season. He has limited the Giants to just three earned runs across 34 IP this season, limiting them to less than one baserunner per inning. The Giants offense has not been getting it done of late, averaging just 3.5 runs per game over the last two weeks. Give me the Dodgers.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -150